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Builder Confidence Remains in Basement

by devteam September 19th, 2011 | Share

The Housing Market Index (HMI) releaserntoday by the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB)/Wells Fargo remainedrnvirtually unchanged for the sixth month in a row.  The index which measures home builders’ confidence</ain the market for newly built, single-family houses, slid by a single point inrnSeptember to 14.  It has moved within thern13 to 16 point range since mid-winter.</p

The HMI is derived from a monthly surveyrnof new home builders which asks them to assess both current new home sales andrntheir expectations for sales in six months as “good,” “fair,” or “poor.”  Builders are also asked to rate the trafficrnof prospective buyers as “high to very high,” “average” or “low to veryrnlow.”  Any score of 50 or more on the threerncomponents or on the composite HMI indicates that more builders view conditionsrnas good than view them as poor.</p

Answers given to all three questionsrnresulted in lower scores. The component measuring current sales conditions</bdecreased from 15 to 14 while attitudes about sales expectations for the nextrnsix months drove that component down two points to 17.  The measure of traffic of prospective buyersrnwas 11, a loss of two points since August. rn</p

“Very little has changed in terms of housing market conditions so far thisrnyear,” said NAHB Chairman Bob Nielsen. “Builders continue to confront the samernchallenges in accessing construction credit, obtaining accurate appraisalrnvalues for new homes, and competing against foreclosed properties that theyrnhave seen for some time. Beyond this, both builder and consumer confidence tookrna hit in recent weeks with the market disruptions caused by the S&Prndowngrade and congressional gridlock on the budget deficit.” </p

“The fact that the HMI continues to hover within such a narrow, low rangernreflects builders’ awareness that many consumers are simply unwilling or unablernto move forward with a home purchase in today’s uncertain economic climate,”rnadded NAHB Chief Economist David Crowe.  “While some bright spots arernbeginning to emerge in about a dozen select metro areas, the broader picturernremains fairly bleak due to the weak economy and job market.”</p

Regional results echoed the national attitude; only in the Midwest, wherernthe index rose one point to 11, showed positive movement.  The Northeast and South each declined twornpoints to 15 and the West lost three points to score 12.  

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