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Delinquencies Hit Six-Year Low

by devteam January 10th, 2014 | Share

Allrnof the usual measures of mortgage distress continue to retreat CoreLogic saidrnin its National Foreclosure Report for November.  (The report contains a supplement featuring quarterly shadow inventory data as ofrnOctober 2013.)  Serious delinquencies, completed foreclosures,rnforeclosures in process, and the shadow inventory are all down substantially</bfrom their respective peaks and serious delinquencies are at a six-year low.  </p

CoreLogic said that there were 1.969 million mortgagesrnconsidered seriously delinquent, that is 90 or more days past due or inrnforeclosure, in November compared to 2.021 million in October, a decline of 2.6rnpercent.  November delinquencies wererndown 26.3 percent from the 2.637 million mark 12 months earlier.  The national delinquency rate is now 5.0rnpercent, the lowest percentage since November 2008.</p

There were approximately 812,000 homes in some stagernof foreclosure in November, down from 1.2 million one year earlier, a decreasernof 34 percent and 4.6 percent below October’s foreclosure inventory.  Homes in foreclosure during the recent periodrnrepresented 2.1 percent of mortgaged homes, down from 3 percent in Novemberrn2012.</p

The states with the highest foreclosure inventory asrna percentage of mortgaged homes are Florida (6.6 percent), New Jersey (6.5rnpercent, New York (4.7 percent) and Maine and Connecticut, each at 3.5 percent.  Thirty-five states have inventories lowerrnthan the national rate of 2.3 percent with the lowest percentages being inrnWyoming (0.4 percent), Alaska (0.5 percent) and North Dakota, Nebraska andrnColorado (all 0.6 percent.)</p

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Thernshadow inventory or pending supply which includes properties which arernseriously delinquent, in foreclosure or in servicers’ owned real estate inventoriesrnbut not yet listed on Multiple Listing Services.  The shadow inventory decreased 24 percentrnfrom 2.2 million homes in October 2012, a 5.8 month supply, to 1.7 million inrnOctober 2013, a 3.5 month supply;rnalmost half are delinquent but not yet foreclosed.</p

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The inventory is now down 43 percent from the peak</bof 3 million homes reached in January 2010 with double-digit decreases in therninventory on a year-over-year basis for each of the last 13 months.  The value of the inventory was $256 billion asrnof October 2013, down from $348 billion a year earlier.  </p

There were 46,000 completed foreclosures in Novemberrncompared to 64,000 in November 2012, a 29 percent drop and 8.3 percent fewerrnthan in October.  The incidence ofrnforeclosure, while down significantly from recent highs, is still elevated byrnnormal standards.  By way of comparison CoreLogicrnsaid that completedrnforeclosures averaged 21,000 per month nationwide between 2000 and 2006.  There have beenrnapproximately 4.7 million foreclosures completed since September 2008.   </p

The fivernstates with the highest number of completed foreclosures for the 12 monthsrnending in November 2013 were Florida (115,000), Michigan (54,000), Californiarn(42,000), Texas (40,000) and Georgia (36,000). These five states account forrnalmost half of all completed foreclosures nationally.</p

“Nationally, loan performancerncontinues to improve. The rate of seriously delinquent loans is at a newrnfive-year low, down 26 percent relative to a year ago,” said Dr. MarkrnFleming, chief economist for CoreLogic. “The shadow inventory continues torndecline as well, decreasing at an average monthly rate of 46,000 units over thernlast year. Healthy market levels of shadow inventory are around 650,000 units,rnso there is more to be done, but the trend is in the right direction.” </p

“Consumer confidence isrndefinitely up as the economic rebound gathers more steam,” said AnandrnNallathambi, president and CEO of CoreLogic. “As the negative equityrncrisis abates and home prices continue to rise, most people are prioritizingrnthe payment of their mortgage obligations. The result is a double-digit drop inrnthe inventory of seriously delinquent homes in 48 states as of October.”

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About the Author

devteam

Steven A Feinberg (@CPAsteve) of Appletree Business Services LLC, is a PASBA member accountant located in Londonderry, New Hampshire.

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