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Improving Housing Outlook May be Reaching Plateau

by devteam September 9th, 2013 | Share

Fannie Mae said today that results ofrnits monthly National Housing Survey shows that Americans are aware of andrnfollowing trends in the housing market. rnThe outlook toward housing growth voiced by survey respondents hasrngenerally moved upward since the beginning of the year but now appears to havernplateaued, perhaps due to concerns over the potential tapering of the FederalrnReserve’s asset purchases.</p

“The spike in mortgage rates associated with the possibilityrnthat the Fed will begin to wind down its asset purchase program later thisrnmonth has dampened the improving trend in consumer sentiment regarding housingrnwitnessed in our survey since the start of this year,” said Doug Duncan, seniorrnvice president and chief economist at Fannie Mae. “The pause in positivernmomentum is consistent with slowing trends in home purchase contract signings</band mortgage applications. Interest rate volatility will likely remainrnelevated, even after we have more clarity on the pace of the Fed's tapering,rndue to concerns over the upcoming budget and debt ceiling debates as well asrnthe crisis in Syria." </p

A majority of survey respondents still expect home prices tornincrease over the next 12 months and that number increased 2 percentage pointsrnfrom July to 55 percent but is below early summer responses.  The pace at which respondents expect price tornrise dropped to 3.4 percent from 3.9 percent in July.   </p

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Additionally, the share of Americans who say it is a goodrntime to buy a home has stayed relatively flat during the past year andrndecreased 3 percentage points in August. rnThose who say it is a good time to sell increased fairly steadily sincernthe first of the year but fell 4 percentage points to 36 percent in August.</p

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Americans have a similar view about rental prices.  The number of respondents who expect rents torncontinue to increase, while still a majority, fell slightly in August (from 54rnto 53 percent) as did the rate at which they expect those rents to go up,rndipping from 4.2 percent to 4.1 percent.</p

Expectations about mortgage rates leveled off a bit with 60rnpercent expecting further increases – down from 62 percent – while those whornfeel rates have stabilized rose from 28 percent to 31 percent.  Forty-six percent of respondents feel itrnwould be easy for them to get a home mortgage today while 53 percent view it asrna difficult proposition.  Both views werernup 1 percentage point from July.  </p

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At 37 percent, the share of respondents who say the economyrnis on the right track decreased 3 percentage points from July but there was a onernpoint increase in persons who expect their own financial situation to improvernover the next 12 months and a 3 month drop in those who expect it to getrnworse.   </p

The National Housing Survey is conducted every month byrntelephone among 1,001 Americans including persons who own their homes with arnmortgage and without a mortgage and persons who rent.  The survey is designed to assess attitudes towardrnowning and renting a home, home and rental price changes, homeownershiprndistress, the economy, household finances, and overall consumer confidence.

All Content Copyright © 2003 – 2009 Brown House Media, Inc. All Rights Reserved.nReproduction in any form without permission of MortgageNewsDaily.com is prohibited.

About the Author

devteam

Steven A Feinberg (@CPAsteve) of Appletree Business Services LLC, is a PASBA member accountant located in Londonderry, New Hampshire.

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