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Negative Equity Nearing Pre-Crisis Levels

by devteam January 10th, 2015 | Share

Owners of some 90 percent of mortgage properties in the U.S.rnnow have some degree of equity in their homes. rnCoreLogic said today that 273,000 properties returned to a positivernequity status during the third quarter of 2014 and overall equity increased byrnabout $800 billion compared to the third quarter of 2013.  About $44.6 million properties are now in a positivernequity position. </p

Approximately 5.1 million homes or 10.3 percent of all homes</bin the U.S. with a mortgage, remained underwater at the end of the quarter,rndown from 5.4 million or 10.9 percent in the second quarter of the year and 6.5rnmillion or 13.3 percent in the third quarter of 2013.  </p

The aggregate value of negative equity nationwide was $338 billion atrnthe end of Q3 compared to $348.2 billion in Q2. rnOn a year-over-year basis, the value of negative equity declined from $403.2rnbillion in Q3 2013, representing a decrease of 16.2 percent in 12 months.  </p

However, many homeowners with equity are not yet out of the woods.  CoreLogic estimates that 1.3 million of themrnhave less than 5 percent equity in their homes and could sink back underwaterrnif home prices fall.  These near-negativernborrowers are among about 9.4 million or 19 percent who are under-equitied,rnhaving loan-to-value rations over 80 percent. rnThese under-equitied borrowers could have a difficult time refinancingrnor buying a new home after selling the existing one because of lack of a downrnpayment.  </p

“Nationally, the negative equity share is down over threernpercentage points over the past year. Declines were concentrated in a handfulrnof states, such as Nevada, Georgia, Michigan and Florida,” said Sam Khater, deputyrnchief economist for CoreLogic. “Forecasted house price appreciation of aboutrnfive percent over the next year suggests that negative equity should be atrnabout 8 percent a year from now, still above average, but approaching thernpre-crisis level.”</p

 Nevada continues to have the highest percentage ofrnunderwater homes at 25.4 percent followed by Florida (23.8 percent), Arizonarn(19 percent), Rhode Island (14.8 percent), and Illinois.  These top five states together account for nearlyrnone-third of all negative equity in the United States. </p

CoreLogic said two states failed to report data forrninclusion in the report, South Dakota and Wyoming

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About the Author

devteam

Steven A Feinberg (@CPAsteve) of Appletree Business Services LLC, is a PASBA member accountant located in Londonderry, New Hampshire.

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