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Refi Demand Falls to 2-yr Lows, Dragging Down MBA Survey

by devteam July 17th, 2013 | Share

Purchasernapplications shored up application volume during the week ended Julyrn12 after four straight weeks of decline. Refinancing activityrncontinued to react to increased rates and seasonally adjusted figuresrnfrom the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA’s) Weekly MortgagernApplication Survey were muddied a bit by adjustments to the previousrnweeks figures because of the July 4 holiday. </p

MBA’srnMarket Composite Index, a measure of that application volume,rndecreased 2.6 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from the weekrnended July 5 however it increased 22 percent on an unadjusted basis,rnthe first increase in five weeks. </p

ThernRefinance Index was down 4 percent from the previous week and is atrnits lowest level since July 2011. Refinancing dropped to a 63rnpercent share of all application activity, its lowest level sincernApril 2011 from a 64 percent share the previous week. Thirty-fourrnpercent of refinancing applications were for the Home AffordablernRefinance Program (HARP) compared to 35 percent the week before.. </p

Refinance Index vs 30 Yr Fixed</p

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Thernseasonally adjusted Purchase Index increased 1 percent from one weekrnearlier but the unadjusted Index jumped 26 percent compared with thernprevious week and was 5 percent higher than the same week one yearrnago.</p

Purchase Index vs 30 Yr Fixed</b</p

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Contract interest rates which had risen sharply forrnseveral weeks were mixed during the week while effective rates allrndeclined. The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-raternmortgages (FRM) with conforming loan balances ($417,500 or less) wasrnunchanged at 4.68 percent,with points decreasing to 0.42 from 0.46.rnThe interest rate for the jumbo 30-year FRM (loan balances overrn$417,500) decreased to 4.81 percent from 4.86 percent and pointsrnincreased to 0.40 from 0.37. FHA-backed 30-year FRM had a contractrnrate of 4.38 percent with 0.22 point compared to 4.37 percent withrn0.39 point the previous week.

The average contract interestrnrate for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages dropped 6 basis points to 3.70rnpercent. Points decreased to 0.38 from 0.41.

The averagerncontract interest rate for 5/1 adjustable rate mortgages (ARMs)rnslipped to 3.39 percent from 3.40 percent and points fell to 0.37rnfrom 0.54, The ARM share of activity increased to 7 percent of totalrnapplications.</p

Ratesrnquoted are for 80 percent loan-to-value ratio mortgages and pointsrninclude the origination fee.

MBA’s Weekly MortgagernApplications Survey covers over 75 percent of all U.S. retailrnresidential mortgage applications, and has been conducted weeklyrnsince 1990. Respondents include mortgage bankers, commercial banksrnand thrifts. Base period and value for all indexes is March 16,rn1990=100.

All Content Copyright © 2003 – 2009 Brown House Media, Inc. All Rights Reserved.nReproduction in any form without permission of MortgageNewsDaily.com is prohibited.

About the Author

devteam

Steven A Feinberg (@CPAsteve) of Appletree Business Services LLC, is a PASBA member accountant located in Londonderry, New Hampshire.

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