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Existing Home Sales Fall From October Peak

by devteam December 22nd, 2014 | Share

Existing home sales in November fell far short of sales the previousrnmonth according to today’s report from the National Association of Realtors® (NAR).  Sales in November were at a seasonallyrnadjusted annual rate of 4.93 million units, the lowest since May’s 4.91 millionrnunit pace and a 6.1 percent decline from the previous month.  November sales were still 2.1 percent higher</bthan a year earlier, the second consecutive month of year-over-year gains. </p

October was a banner month for existing home sales with volumernoriginally reported at an annual rate of 5.26 million units.  Despite the slight downward revision to 5.25rnmillion reported today October remains the best month for sales since Septemberrn2013.</p

Existing home sales are completed transactions which include sales of single-familyrnhomes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops. rnSingle-family home sales dropped 6.3 percent to a seasonally adjustedrnannual rate of 4.33 million in November from 4.62 million in October, butrnremain 2.4 percent above the 4.23 million pace a year ago. Existing condominiumrnand co-op sales declined 4.8 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate ofrn600,000 units in November from 630,000 in October, and are unchanged from arnyear ago.</p

Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, says sales activity was choppy throughoutrnthe country in November and housing inventory began its seasonal decline.rn”Fewer people bought homes last month despite interest rates being at theirrnlowest levels of the year,” he said. “The stock market swings in October mayrnhave impacted some consumers’ psyche and therefore led to fewer Novemberrnclosings. Furthermore, rising home values are causing more investors to retreatrnfrom the market.”</p

The median price of an existing home was $205,300 in November, an increasernof 5.0 percent compared to the previous year and the 33rd consecutivernmonth of year-over-year gains. rnSingle-family homes had a median price of $206,200 representing an annualrnincrease of 5.6 percent while condominiums were up 1.2 percent on an annual basisrnto a median of $199,000.</p

Inventory, as Yun said, was down, falling 6.7 percent to 2.09 millionrnexisting homes.  Declining sales, howeverrnkept the inventory at a 5.1 month supply, the same as in October.  In November 2013 there were 2.05 millionrnhomes for sale.</p

“Lagging homebuilding activity continues to hamstring overall housing supplyrnand is still too low in relation to this year’s promising job growth,” saysrnYun. “Much faster price and rent appreciation – easily exceeding wage growth -rnwill occur next year unless new construction picks up measurably.”</p

The role played by first time homebuyers grew in November, rising from 29rnpercent of sales to 31 percent.  This isrnthe highest share of first-time buyers since October 2012.  Investors purchased 15 percent of the homesrnsold in November, the same percentage as in October but down from 19 percent arnyear earlier.  Sixty-one percent of investorsrnpaid cash for the homes they purchased and all cash sales accounted for arnquarter of all sales, down from 27 percent in October and 32 percent inrnNovember 2013. </p

NAR President Chris Polychron says Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac’s new lowrndownpayment program should improve access to credit for responsible buyers.rn”NAR applauds Fannie and Freddie’s commitment to homeownership by servingrncreditworthy borrowers who lack the resources for substantial downpayments plusrnclosing costs with its new downpayment program,” he said. “The new program<bmitigates risk with strong underwriting and ensures that responsible buyersrnhave access to safe and affordable mortgage credit. Furthermore, NAR believesrnlenders must do their part to ensure loans are prudently underwritten and arernmade available to qualified borrowers.”</p

Six percent of sales in November were of foreclosed property and 3 percentrnwere short sales.  The 9 percentrndistressed sales total was unchanged from October and was the fourth month thisrnyear those sales were in single digits.  Foreclosuresrnsold for an average discount of 17 percent below market value in November (15rnpercent in October), while short sales were discounted 13 percent (10 percentrnin October).      </p

Median marketing time for homes sold in November was 65 days, two daysrnlonger than the previous month and nine days more than a year earlier.  Short sales took a median of 116 days tornsell, foreclosures 65 days, and non-distressed properties 63 days.  Thirty-two percent of homes sold in Novemberrnwere on the market for less than a month.</p

Sales fell in all of the nation’s regions in November compared to Octoberrnand were down year over year in two of the four.  Prices rose everywhere on an annualrnbasis.  </p

In the Northeast sales declined 4.2 percent to an annual rate of 680,000,rnbut remain 4.6 percent above a year ago. The median price in the Northeast wasrn$246,100, 1.3 percent above a year ago.</p

Midwest sales fell 8.9 percent to an annual level of 1.13 million inrnNovember, and are now 1.7 percent below November 2013. The median price in thernMidwest was $160,500, up 7.0 percent from a year ago.</p

Existing-home sales in the South decreased 3.2 percent to an annual rate ofrn2.09 million but remain 5.0 percent above November 2013. The median price inrnthe South was $176,500, a 5.2 percent annual increase. </p

Sales in the West dropped 9.6 percent to an annual rate of 1.03 million inrnNovember, and remain 1.0 percent below a year ago. The median price in the Westrnwas $292,700, up 3.5 percent from November 2013.

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About the Author

devteam

Steven A Feinberg (@CPAsteve) of Appletree Business Services LLC, is a PASBA member accountant located in Londonderry, New Hampshire.

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