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Price Increases Slow in Latest Case Shiller Report

by devteam April 30th, 2014 | Share

The S&P/Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index rosernslightly in February on a seasonally-adjusted basis, beating analysts’ expectations by a hair while showingrnslowing rates of home price gains.  The 20-CityrnIndex was up 0.8 percent against consensusrnexpectations of 0.7 percent.  The 10-CityrnIndex rose 0.9 percent.  The 20-City rosern13.1 percent compared to February 2013 and the 10-City was up 12.9 percent onrnan annual basis. There was no change on an unadjusted basis.</p

Thirteen cities saw lower annual rates of appreciation than in January andrnthirteen saw lower month-over-month increases. rnLas Vegas had the largest annual return at 23.1 percent but that was downrnfrom the annual rate of 24.9 percent the previous month.   Only five cities saw their annual rates improve in February.rnAfter posting annual gains of over 20 percent for their twelfth consecutivernmonth, Las Vegas and San Francisco both decelerated in their annual rates. SanrnDiego narrowed the gap with a return of 19.9 percent, Washington D.C. recordedrnits eighth consecutive improvement with an annual rate of 9.1 percent, itsrnhighest since May 2006.</p

Cleveland had the largest monthly decline</bof 1.6 percent and Minneapolis followed at -0.9 percent. Las Vegas posted -0.1rnpercent, marking its first decline in almost two years. Tampa had its largestrndecline, 0.7 percent, since January 2012.</p

David M. Blitzer, Chairman of thernIndex Committee at S&P Dow Jones Indices said of the February results thatrnwhile monthly results held steady the annual rates for both indices cooled thernmost they have in some time.  “Thernthree California cities and Las Vegas have the strongest increases over thernlast 12 months as the West continues to lead. Denver and Dallas remain the onlyrncities which have reached new post-crisis price peaks. The Northeast with NewrnYork, Washington and Boston are seeing some of the slowest year-over-yearrngains. However, even there prices are above their levels of early 2013. On arnmonth-to-month basis, there is clear weakness. Seasonally adjusted data showrnprices rose in 19 cities, but a majority at a slower pace than in January.”</p

Blitzer said that even with recentrnprice increases most housing statistics are weak with sales of both new andrnexisting houses either flat or down.  “Thernrecovery in housing starts, now less than one million units at annual rates, isrnfaltering. Moreover, home prices nationally have not made it back torn2005.  Mortgage interest rates, which jumped in May last year and arernsteady since then, are blamed by some analysts for the weakness. Others citerndifficulties in qualifying for loans and concerns about consumer confidence.rnThe result is less demand and fewer homes being built,” he said.</p

“Five years into the recoveryrnfrom the recession, the economy will need to look to gains in consumer spendingrnand business investment more than housing,” Blitzer continued.  “Long overdue activity in residentialrnconstruction would be welcome, but is certainly not assured.”</p

As of February 2014, average homernprices across the United States are back to their mid-2004 levels. Measuredrnfrom their June/July 2006 peaks, the peak-to-current decline for bothrnComposites is approximately 20 percent. The recovery from the March 2012 lowsrnis 23 percent for the 10-City and 20-City Composites.

All Content Copyright © 2003 – 2009 Brown House Media, Inc. All Rights Reserved.nReproduction in any form without permission of MortgageNewsDaily.com is prohibited.

About the Author

devteam

Steven A Feinberg (@CPAsteve) of Appletree Business Services LLC, is a PASBA member accountant located in Londonderry, New Hampshire.

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